Afghanistan - Economic Forecasts - 2018-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Afghanistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Afghanistan economy.


Overview Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 8.80 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 9 percent
Inflation Rate -0.10 2.9 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.3 percent
Balance of Trade -6960.70 -5706 -5706 -6047 -6047 -6368 USD Million
Government Debt to GDP 7.60 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.2 percent
MARKETS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Currency 75.65
73.22 73.44 73.66 73.88 74.78
GDP Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.20
percent
2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 3.2
GDP 20.82
USD Billion
21 21 22 22 23
GDP per capita 618.30
USD
620 620 634 634 642
GDP per capita PPP 1804.00
USD
1810 1810 1817 1817 1841
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 265637.00
AFN Million
249000 249000 257000 257000 261500
Gdp From Agriculture 139181.00
AFN Million
120000 120000 135000 135000 141000
Gdp From Construction 65138.00
AFN Million
66500 66500 69900 69900 70000
Gdp From Manufacturing 51872.00
AFN Million
51900 51900 52400 52400 52770
Gdp From Mining 4206.00
AFN Million
3800 3800 3720 3720 3960
Gdp From Services 274350.00
AFN Million
268700 268700 271500 271500 276000
Gdp From Transport 140570.00
AFN Million
139000 139000 143000 143000 148500
Gdp From Utilities 235.00
AFN Million
239 239 247 247 254
LABOUR Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 8.80
percent
8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 9
Population 29.70
Million
31.2 31.2 32.5 32.5 33.1
PRICES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Inflation Rate -0.10
percent
2.9 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.3
Core Inflation Rate 3.10
percent
1.5 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.7
Inflation Rate Mom 0.10
percent
0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3
Gdp Deflator 262.40
Index Points
275 275 283 283 292
Food Inflation -3.50
percent
-1.5 1.2 6 5 4
Cpi Housing Utilities 109.90
Index Points
108 108 108 108 109
Cpi Transportation 114.00
Index Points
108 107 107 107 107
Consumer Price Index Cpi 110.80
Index Points
114 118 118 117 130
TRADE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Balance of Trade -6960.70
USD Million
-5706 -5706 -6047 -6047 -6368
Exports 831.93
USD Million
627 627 674 674 692
Imports 7792.60
USD Million
6333 6333 6721 6721 7060
Current Account -595.20
USD Million
-556 -524 -558 -541 -516
Current Account to GDP -20.00
percent
-15 -15 -12 -12 -9
Gold Reserves 21.90
Tonnes
21.9 21.9 21.9 21.9 21.9
Terrorism Index 9.44
9.57 9.57 9.68 9.68 9.61
GOVERNMENT Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Government Debt to GDP 7.60
percent
7.1 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.2
Government Budget -0.70
percent of GDP
-0.4 -0.4 0.5 0.5 -0.7
Military Expenditure 180.85
USD Million
177 177 178 178 175
Government Spending 174187.00
AFN Million
177000 177000 186000 186000 191000
Government Spending To Gdp 11.90
percent
11.7 11.7 11.3 11.3 11.2
Government Budget Value -10433.20
AFN Million
-7800 -7800 -6750 -6750 -6190
BUSINESS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Internet Speed 1901.54
KBps
1962 1964 1963 1964 1964
IP Addresses 14505.00
IP
14126 14110 14086 14100 14080
Mining Production 3697.10
percent
3990 3990 4060 4060 4700
Ease of Doing Business 183.00
182 182 181 181 183
Electricity Production 1076.30
Gigawatt-hour
1105 1105 1147 1147 1178
Corruption Index 15.00
Points
14 14 14 14 14
Corruption Rank 177.00
180 180 181 181 177
Cement Production 186.30
Thousands of Tonnes
195 195 210 210 224
Changes In Inventories 544374.00
AFN Million
450600 450600 432100 432100 481000
CONSUMER Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Consumer Spending 1112235.00
AFN Million
1198000 1198000 1230000 1230000 1250000
TAXES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 20.00
percent
20 20 20 20 20
Personal Income Tax Rate 20.00
percent
20 20 20 20 20
Sales Tax Rate 10.00
percent
10 10 10 10 10
CLIMATE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Precipitation 19.04
mm
6.48 19.46 53.54 26.63 27
Temperature 2.88
celsius
24.21 8.06 3.96 24.32 14.38