Nigeria Q1 GDP Growth Slows More than Expected


Nigeria’s gross domestic product advanced 2.0 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2019, easing from a 2.4 percent expansion in the previous period and below market expectations of 2.1 percent, mainly due to a steeper contraction in the country's oil sector.

The oil sector shrank 2.4 percent in the three-months to March of 2019, after contracting 1.6 percent in the prior period. The country produced 1.96 million barrels of crude oil per day, lower than 1.98 mbpd in the same period a year earlier. As a result, the oil sector accounted for 9.1 percent of GDP compared to 9.6 percent a year ago. 

The non-oil sector rose 2.5 percent, slowing from a 2.7 percent growth in the prior quarter. 

Output increased at a softer pace for manufacturing (0.8 percent from 2.4 percent in Q4 2018); internal trade (0.8 percent from 1 percent); information and communication (9.5 percent from 13.2 percent) and education. Also, production fell further for public administration (-14.2 percent from -0.3 percent); financial and insurance (-7.6 percent from -1.8 percent) and mining and quarrying (-2.3 percent from -1.2 percent). On the other hand, output advanced faster for agriculture (3.2 percent from 2.5 percent); electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply (8.5 percent from 0.9 percent); water supply, sewerage, waste management (3.8 percent from 1.8 percent); construction (3.2 percent from 2 percent); accommodation and food services (4.2 percent from 2.1 percent); professional, scientific and technical services (1.7 percent from 0.5 percent) and administrative and support services (1.4 percent from 0.8 percent). Additionally, real state activities rebounded 0.9 percent, after declining 3.8 percent. 

On a quarterly basis, the economy shrank 13.8 percent, after a 5.3 percent growth in the last quarter of 2018. It was the steepest contraction in GDP since the March quarter of 2016.

Nigeria's central bank has forecast growth of 3 percent for 2019.


Nigeria Q1 GDP Growth Slows More than Expected


National Bureau of Statistics | Agna Gabriel | agna.gabriel@tradingeconomics.com
5/20/2019 8:36:28 AM