The NAB business confidence index in Australia rose to 4 in July 2019 from 2 in June, beating market expectations of 3. The lift was broad-based across industries after a sharp fall in June and a period of volatility around the Federal Election. However, the bounce may have been short lived, as sentiment remained below average levels. Meanwhile, business conditions weakened, driven by a decline in the employment sub-index (down 5 points to 0). Trading conditions also edged lower, while reported profitability increased slightly in the month. Forward-looking indicators remain weak. Forward orders edged higher in the month but remained negative and well below average while capacity utilisation unwound its sharp spike last month and is now again just below average. "It appears that both the cut to interest rates and boost to tax rebates is yet to feed into the business sector and that the weakness in Q2 has persisted into Q3", said NAB group chief economist Alan Oster. Business Confidence in Australia averaged 5.91 Index Points from 1997 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 21 Index Points in April of 2002 and a record low of -30 Index Points in October of 2008.

Business Confidence in Australia is expected to be 6.00 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Business Confidence in Australia to stand at 6.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Australia Business Confidence is projected to trend around 7.00 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.

Australia Business Confidence
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-05-14 01:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Apr 0 -1 1 2
2019-06-11 01:30 AM NAB Business Confidence May 7 0 1
2019-07-09 01:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Jun 2 7 2 3
2019-08-13 01:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Jul 4 2 3 3
2019-09-11 01:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Aug 4
2019-10-09 12:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Sep 6
2019-11-13 12:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Oct


Australia Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 4.00 2.00 21.00 -30.00 Index Points [+]
Services PMI 43.90 52.20 63.00 32.50 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 51.30 49.40 62.50 29.47 [+]
Industrial Production 1.20 3.00 12.60 -7.60 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.50 0.30 5.20 -7.10 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -1.30 -0.50 8.60 -11.80 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 80.89 82.06 84.62 78.24 percent [+]
New Orders 36.00 22.00 49.00 -37.00 Index Points [+]
Changes in Inventories 460.00 1048.00 4159.00 -3848.00 AUD Million [+]
Bankruptcies 708.00 772.00 1123.00 217.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 93026.00 91428.00 93026.00 12032.00 AUD Million [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 117817.00 92561.00 130300.00 48099.00 [+]
Car Registrations 14330.43 14078.57 14330.43 3990.94 Thousand [+]
Leading Economic Index -0.10 -0.08 0.54 -1.10 percent [+]
Small Business Sentiment 0.84 -4.92 18.55 -21.17 [+]
Internet Speed 11063.10 10098.33 11063.10 1922.87 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 9859878.00 9310525.00 13859005.00 5227461.00 IP [+]
Industrial Sentiment 51.60 52.00 57.20 50.90 Index Points [+]
Private Investment -1.70 1.30 15.60 -8.60 percent [+]
Mining Production 3.20 6.80 25.20 -16.90 percent [+]
Steel Production 475.78 493.54 819.00 238.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Services Sentiment 52.30 52.60 58.40 48.70 Index Points [+]
Corruption Index 77.00 77.00 88.60 77.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 13.00 13.00 13.00 7.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 78.85 78.17 78.85 5.08 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 14.00 15.00 22.00 14.00 [+]
Composite Pmi 52.10 52.50 58.30 49.10 Index Points [+]
Business Inventories 0.70 0.00 2.80 -2.80 percent [+]
Ease of Doing Business 18.00 14.00 18.00 9.00 [+]


Australia Business Confidence

The NAB monthly survey of business confidence is based on a telephone survey of around 600 small, medium and large size non-agricultural companies. The Survey measures the expectations of business conditions for the upcoming month and is a simple average of trading, profitability and employment indices, reported by respondents for their company. The indices are calculated by taking the difference between the percentage of respondents nominating good or very good, or a rise and those nominating poor or very poor, or a fall. This page provides - Australia Business Confidence - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Australia Business Confidence - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on August of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
4.00 2.00 21.00 -30.00 1997 - 2019 Index Points Monthly
SA




Country Last Previous
Australia 4.00 Jul/19
Brazil 59.40 Aug/19
Canada 54.20 Jul/19
China 49.70 Jul/19
Euro Area -0.12 Jul/19
France 101.00 Jul/19
Germany 95.70 Jul/19
India 113.50 Jun/19
Indonesia 108.81 Jun/19
Italy 100.10 Jul/19
Japan 7.00 Jun/19
Mexico 49.50 Jul/19
Netherlands 3.90 Jul/19
Russia -1.00 Jul/19
Saudi Arabia 3.00 Jun/16
Singapore -11.00 Jun/19
South Africa 28.00 Jun/19
South Korea 73.00 Jul/19
Spain -2.80 Jul/19
Switzerland 97.10 Jul/19
Turkey 98.30 Jul/19
United Kingdom -32.00 Sep/19
United States 51.20 Jul/19


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