Markets Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Stock Market (points) 1468.30 1210 1150 1150 1150 1080
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
Overview Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 2.73 2.5 1.6 1.8 2 3.1
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.70 3.9 3.9 3.9 4 4
Inflation Rate (%) 1.00 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.5 3.1
Interest Rate (%) 2.75 2.75 2.5 2.5 2.25 2.5
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) -320.30 -200 -200 -200 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -834.70 -490 -490 -490 -450 -450
Current Account to GDP (%) -5.90 -3.8 -3.8 -3.8 -3.5 -3.5
Government Debt to GDP (%) 93.40 99 99 99 102 102
Government Budget (% of GDP) -11.70 -8.5 -8.5 -8.5 -7.6 -7.6
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
GDP Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 2.73 2.5 1.6 1.8 2 3.1
GDP (USD Billion) 35.31 39.3 39.3 39.3 40.5 40.5
GDP Constant Prices (BHD Million) 3154.91 3250 3231 3238 3244 3329
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BHD Million) 3371.00 3068 3092 3098 3104 3185
GDP per capita (USD) 22111.50 22352 22352 22352 22790 22790
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 43290.70 43652 43652 43652 44002 44002
GDP From Agriculture (BHD Million) 8.93 8.94 9.01 9.03 9.05 9.28
GDP From Construction (BHD Million) 234.74 232 234 235 235 241
GDP From Manufacturing (BDT Million) 444.22 470 474 475 476 489
GDP From Mining (BHD Million) 553.03 623 632 633 635 651
GDP From Public Administration (BHD Million) 399.81 446 393 394 395 405
GDP From Services (BHD Million) 1857.22 1875 1834 1837 1841 1889
GDP From Transport (BHD Million) 240.79 231 233 233 234 240
GDP From Utilities (BHD Million) 56.80 45.06 48.06 48.15 48.25 49.5
Labour Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.70 3.9 3.9 3.9 4 4
Population (Million) 1.50 1.62 1.62 1.58 1.66 1.66
Prices Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Inflation Rate (%) 1.00 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.5 3.1
Consumer Price Index CPI (Index Points) 133.30 134 134 134 137 138
Inflation Rate Mom (%) -0.30 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.3
CPI Housing Utilities (Index Points) 123.50 120 121 122 127 125
CPI Transportation (Index Points) 138.80 137 139 139 142 144
Food Inflation (%) 2.30 1.7 3.2 3.5 3.1 2.9
Money Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Interest Rate (%) 2.75 2.75 2.5 2.5 2.25 2.5
Interbank Rate (%) 3.18 3.18 2.93 2.93 2.68 2.93
Money Supply M2 (BHD Million) 11513.00 10755 10780 10800 10800 10900
Loan Growth (%) 6.70 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.4 11.2
Loans To Private Sector (BHD Million) 5131.10 5035 5022 5188 5195 5349
Foreign Exchange Reserves (BHD Million ) 918.30 826 613 654 654 850
Central Bank Balance Sheet (BHD Million) 2969.30 2680 2720 2790 2790 2910
Banks Balance Sheet (USD Million) 201155.50 190800 190760 191000 191000 192500
Trade Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) -320.30 -200 -200 -200 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -834.70 -490 -490 -490 -450 -450
Current Account to GDP (%) -5.90 -3.8 -3.8 -3.8 -3.5 -3.5
Imports (BHD Million) 7185.40 7200 7200 7200 6500 6500
Exports (BHD Million) 6865.10 7000 7000 7000 7200 7200
Foreign Direct Investment (BHD Million) 10902.70 275 275 275 310 310
Government Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Government Debt to GDP (%) 93.40 99 99 99 102 102
Government Budget (% of GDP) -11.70 -8.5 -8.5 -8.5 -7.6 -7.6
Government Spending (BHD Million) 1890.00 1848 1862 1866 1870 1918
Government Debt (BHD Million) 11457.00 11800 12000 12300 12300 13500
Taxes Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Social Security Rate (%) 19.00 19 19 19 19 19
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 12.00 12 12 12 12 12
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 7.00 7 7 7 7 7
Business Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Changes in Inventories (BHD Million) 647.00 223 223 223 253 253
Car Registrations (Hundreds) 428.00 478 478 478 508 508
Consumer Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Consumer Spending (BHD Million) 4729.70 4837 4876 4885 4895 5022
Consumer Credit (BHD Million) 4279.30 3964 4123 4237 4278 4356
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.33
Bank Lending Rate (%) 5.22 5.22 4.97 4.97 4.72 4.97


This page has economic forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy.