The IBC-Br index of economic activity in Brazil advanced 0.21 percent month-over-month in December 2018, following a downwardly revised 0.23 percent rise in November. Year-on-year, the Brazilian economy expanded a non-seasonally adjusted 0.18 percent, the lowest since a 2.76 percent contraction in May. Considering full 2018, economic activity grew 1.15 percent. Leading Economic Index in Brazil averaged 0.17 percent from 2003 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 3.20 percent in June of 2018 and a record low of -3.26 percent in December of 2008.
Leading Economic Index in Brazil is expected to be -0.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Leading Economic Index in Brazil to stand at 1.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Brazil IBC-Br Economic Activity Index is projected to trend around 0.40 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.