The annual inflation rate in Bulgaria picked up to 3.8 percent in December 2019, its highest level since January 2013, from 3.0 percent in the prior month. Main upward pressure came from prices of food & non-alcoholic beverages (7 percent vs 6 percent in November); transport (3.4 percent vs -0.5 percent); recreation & culture (6.4 percent vs 3.4 percent) and restaurants & hotels (5.6 percent vs 5.3 percent). Meanwhile, cost slowed for housing & utilities (2.4 percent vs 2.6 percent) and miscellaneous goods & services (0.9 percent vs 1.1 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices went up 0.7 percent, after increasing 0.5 percent in the previous month. Inflation Rate in Bulgaria averaged 62.07 percent from 1996 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 2019.50 percent in March of 1997 and a record low of -2.60 percent in February of 2014.

Inflation Rate in Bulgaria is expected to be 2.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Inflation Rate in Bulgaria to stand at 1.40 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Bulgaria Inflation Rate is projected to trend around 2.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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Bulgaria Inflation Rate

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.80 3.00 2019.50 -2.60 1996 - 2019 percent Monthly
1995=100, NSA



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-10-14 08:00 AM Sep 2.3% 2.9% 2.8%
2019-11-13 09:00 AM Oct 2.4% 2.3% 2.2%
2019-12-16 09:00 AM Nov 3.0% 2.4% 2.5%
2020-01-15 09:00 AM Dec 3.8% 3.0% 2.6%
2020-02-14 09:00 AM Jan 3.8% 2.5%


News Stream
2019-12-16
Bulgaria Inflation Rate at 6-Month High in November
The annual inflation rate in Bulgaria rose to 3.0 percent in November of 2019 from 2.4 percent in the previous month. It was the highest inflation rate since May, as prices went up faster mostly for food & non-alcoholic beverages (6.0 percent vs 4.7 percent in October); health (2.4 percent vs 2.3 percent); restaurants & hotels (5.3 percent vs 5.1 percent) and recreation & culture (3.4 percent vs 2.5 percent). Additionally, transport cost fell at a much softer pace (-0.5 percent vs -3.4 percent). On the other hand, prices slowed for housing & utilities (2.6 percent vs 3.1 percent) and miscellaneous goods & services (1.1 percent vs 1.5 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices went up 0.5 percent, after a 0.8 percent gain in the preceding month.

2019-11-13
Bulgaria Inflation Rate Picks Up to 2.4% in October
The annual inflation rate in Bulgaria went up to 2.4 percent in October 2019 from 2.3 percent in the previous month. Prices advanced faster for food & non-alcoholic beverages (4.7 percent from 4.2 percent in September); health (2.3 percent from 1.9 percent); recreation & culture (2.5 percent from 2.3 percent); alcoholic beverages & tobacco (2.5 percent from 2.1 percent); furniture & household equipment (0.6 percent from 0.3 percent) and education (3.4 percent from 3.1 percent). On the other hand, cost slowed for housing & utilities (3.1 percent from 3.8 percent); restaurant & hotels (5.1 percent from 5.4 percent) and miscellaneous goods & services (1.5 percent from 1.7 percent). Meantime, prices continued to fall for transport (-3.4 percent from -2.8 percent) and communication (-1.9 percent from -1.8 percent) while clothing & footwear prices were flat (from -0.8 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.8 percent, recovering from a 0.3 percent drop in September.

2019-10-14
Bulgaria Inflation Rate Lowest in Over a Year
The annual inflation rate in Bulgaria dropped to 2.3 percent in September of 2019 from 2.9 percent in the prior month. It was the lowest inflation rate since April of 2018, as prices slowed mainly for food & non-alcoholic beverages (4.2 percent vs 5.2 percent in August); restaurants & hotels (5.4 percent vs 6.1 percent) and recreation & culture (2.3 percent vs 4.0 percent) while transport cost fell further (-2.8 percent vs -1.3 percent). On the other hand, inflation was steady for housing & utilities (at 3.8 percent) while prices advanced faster for health (1.9 percent vs 1.3 percent) and miscellaneous goods & services (1.7 percent vs 0.5 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell 0.3 percent, after 0.1 percent rise in August.

2019-09-16
Bulgaria Inflation Rate Steady at 2.9% in August
The annual inflation rate in Bulgaria came in at 2.9 percent in August 2019, unchanged from the previous month. Prices slowed for housing & utilities (3.8 percent vs 4.0 percent in July) and recreation & culture (4.0 percent vs 4.3 percent) and continued to fall for transport (-1.3 percent vs -0.8 percent) and communication (-1.6 percent vs -1.2 percent). In contrast, inflation edged higher for food & non-alcoholic beverages (5.2 percent vs 4.8 percent); restaurants & hotels (6.1 percent vs 6.0 percent) and furniture & household equipment (0.7 percent vs 0.3 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices edged up 0.1 percent, after rising 0.8 percent in the previous month.

2019-08-14
Bulgaria Inflation Rate Edges Up to 2.9% in July
The annual inflation rate in Bulgaria increased 2.9 percent in July 2019 from 2.8 percent in the prior month. Prices rose faster for food & non-alcoholic beverages (4.8 percent vs 4.6 percent in June); health (0.9 percent vs 0.7 percent); restaurants & hotels (6.0 percent vs 5.4 percent); recreation & culture (4.3 percent vs 3.4 percent) and education (3.0 percent vs 2.6 percent). On the other hand, cost advanced at a softer pace for housing & utilities (4.0 percent vs 4.1 percent); furniture & household equipment (0.3 percent vs 1.4 percent) and alcoholic beverages & tobacco (2.1 percent vs 2.5 percent) while transport cost declined further (-0.8 percent vs -0.4 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices went up 0.8 percent, after decreasing 0.6 percent in the previous month.

2019-07-15
Bulgaria Inflation Rate at 6-Month Low in June
The annual inflation rate in Bulgaria dropped to 2.8 percent in June of 2019 from 3.5 percent in the prior month. It was the lowest inflation rate since December 2018, as prices slowed mainly for food & non-alcoholic beverages (4.6 percent vs 5.8 percent in May); housing & utilities (4.1 percent vs 4.4 percent) and health (0.7 percent vs 0.8 percent) while transport cost declined (-0.4 percent vs 2.5 percent). On the other hand, inflation was steady for restaurants & hotels (at 5.4 percent) and recreation & culture (at 3.4 percent) while prices advanced faster for furniture & household equipment (1.4 percent vs 0.9 percent) and for alcoholic beverages & tobacco (2.5 percent vs 1.6 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell 0.6 percent, after 0.1 percent rise in May.


Bulgaria Inflation Rate
In Bulgaria, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (31.8 percent of total weight). Housing and Utilities accounts for 17.4 percent; Transport for 9 percent; Health for 6.6 percent; Restaurants and Hotels for 5.4 percent and Recreation and Culture for 5.3 percent. Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco; Communication; Miscellaneous Goods and Services; Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Clothing and Footwear and Education account for the remaining 24.5 percent of total weight.

Bulgaria Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 3.80 3.00 2019.50 -2.60 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.70 0.50 242.35 -3.53 percent [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 106.41 105.56 106.41 10.84 points [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 7162.38 7110.15 7162.38 1.51 points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 103.35 102.22 104.55 10.92 points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.80 1.50 550.80 -2.50 percent [+]
Producer Prices 110.20 110.10 110.20 95.30 points [+]
Export Prices 99.40 100.70 116.80 84.10 points [+]
Import Prices 98.60 100.00 112.40 89.30 points [+]
Producer Prices Change 2.80 2.30 15.90 -10.90 percent [+]
Food Inflation 7.00 6.00 2223.90 -15.80 percent [+]
CPI Housing Utilities 15907.95 15921.72 15921.72 75.63 points [+]
CPI Transportation 7876.08 7791.83 9082.85 87.28 points [+]