China Cash Reserve Ratio Big Banks - Forecast

Cash Reserve Ratio in China is expected to be 14.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Cash Reserve Ratio in China to stand at 14.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Cash Reserve Ratio Big Banks is projected to trend around 13.00 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


Forecast Data Chart
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China Money Last Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 2020
Interest Rate 4.35 4.35 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.5
Cash Reserve Ratio 14.5 14.5 14.5 14 14 13
Interbank Rate 3.02 3.02 3.17 3.17 3.17 4.17
Money Supply M0 7130 7032 7029 7014 6999 6866
Money Supply M1 53860 54662 55324 55965 56585 61316
Money Supply M2 180170 183630 187140 190651 194154 225231
Central Bank Balance Sheet 362617 366785 369283 371690 374007 391391
Banks Balance Sheet 1380 1350 1290 1291 1291 1291
Foreign Exchange Reserves 3087025 3064306 3046661 3032122 3019363 2840000
Loans to Private Sector 22100 16178 15287 15692 15821 15820
Deposit Interest Rate 0.35 0.35 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5
Loan Growth 13.2 13 12.5 12.4 13.1 11.7
Reverse Repo Rate 2.55 2.6 2.65 2.65 2.65 3.5
Loans To Banks 1313907 1364125 1402295 1440491 1478586 1818102
Fixed Asset Investment 5.3 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.32 6.2