Profits earned by China's largest industrial firms dropped by 2.4% from a year earlier to CNY 2.98 trillion in the first six months of 2019, compared to a 2.3% fall in January-May. Profits at state-owned industrial firms tumbled 8.7%, while those at private firms rose 6.0%. Among the 41 industries surveyed, 15 sectors saw year-on-year profit falls, including automobiles (-24.9%), oil processing (-53.6%) and steel sectors (-21.8%), due to a rise in crude oil and iron ore prices. Earnings for telecommunications and electronic equipment manufacturers, which are more vulnerable to US tariffs than other products, fell 7.9%; while losses were also seen in chemical raw materials (-13.8%) and coal mining (-7.1%). In June only, industrial profits slumped 3.1% to CNY 601.9 billion, amid concerns over a recent escalation in trade row with the US. Corporate Profits in China averaged 1638234.44 CNY Million from 1996 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 7518710 CNY Million in December of 2017 and a record low of 1617 CNY Million in February of 1998.
Corporate Profits in China is expected to be 4800000.00 CNY Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Corporate Profits in China to stand at 3300000.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China Total Industrial Profits is projected to trend around 6950000.00 CNY Million in 2020, according to our econometric models.