India's infrastructure output dropped 1.5 percent from a year earlier in November 2019, following a 5.8 percent contraction in the previous month, as output fell for electricity (-5.7 percent vs -12.2 percent), steel (-3.7 percent vs -1.9 percent), coal (-2.5 percent vs -17.6 percent), crude oil (-6.0 percent vs -5.1 percent), and natural gas (-6.4 percent vs -5.7 percent). In contrast, refinery products output grew (3.1 percent vs 0.4 percent), as well as cement (4.1 percent vs -7.7 percent), and fertilizers (13.6 percent vs 11.8 percent). Construction Output in India averaged 4.53 percent from 2005 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 11.66 percent in January of 2010 and a record low of -5.80 percent in October of 2019. source: Office of the Economic Adviser to the Government of India

Construction Output in India is expected to be -3.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Construction Output in India to stand at 2.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the India Infrastructure Output is projected to trend around 3.00 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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India Infrastructure Output

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
-1.50 -5.80 11.66 -5.80 2005 - 2019 percent Monthly
2011-2012=100, NSA



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-09-30 11:30 AM Aug -0.5% 2.7% 2.7%
2019-10-31 11:30 AM Sep -5.2% 0.1% -1.2%
2019-11-29 11:30 AM Oct -5.8% -5.1% -5.8%
2019-12-31 11:30 AM Nov -1.5% -5.8% -6.4%
2020-01-31 11:30 AM Dec -1.5% -3.2%


News Stream
2019-11-29
India Infrastructure Output Shrinks at Record Pace
India's infrastructure output declined 5.8 percent year-on-year in October of 2019, following a downwarly revised 5.1 percent drop in the previous month. It is the biggest annual fall in infrastructure output since at least 2005. Further declines were seen in production of electricity (-12.4 percent vs -2.6 percent in September); steel (-1.6 percent vs -1.5 percent); cement (-7.7 percent vs -2 percent); and natural gas (-5.7 percent vs -4.9 percent). Also, both coal (-17.6 percent vs -20.5 percent) and crude oil (-5.1 percent vs -5.4 percent) continued to fall. On the other hand, the output for refinery products rebounded (0.4 percent vs -6.6 percent) and production increased faster for fertilisers (11.8 percent vs 5.4 percent). Considering the period April-October 2019, infrastructure output rose 0.2 percent, well below 5.4 percent a year earlier.

2019-10-31
India Infrastructure Output Falls for 1st Time in Over 4 Years
India's infrastructure output declined 5.2 percent from a year earlier to September 2019, the first month of contraction since April 2015, following an upwardly revised 0.1 percent rise in the previous month. Output went down further for coal (-20.5 percent vs -8.6 percent in August); natural gas (-4.9 percent vs -3.9 percent); and electricity (-3.7 percent vs -0.9 percent). Additionally, production dropped for petroleum refinery products (-6.7 percent vs 2.6 percent) and steel (-0.3 percent vs 5.1 percent); and crude oil output continued to fall (-5.4 percent, the same as in August). On the other hand, output rose at a faster pace for fertilizers (5.4 percent vs 2.9 percent) and decreased less for cement (-2.1 percent vs -5.1 percent).

2019-09-30
India Infrastructure Output Drops for 1st Time in 4 Years
India's infrastructure output dropped 0.5 percent from a year earlier in August 2019, the first month of contraction since April 2015, following an upwardly revised 2.7 percent growth in July. Output fell for coal (-8.6 percent vs -1.6 percent), crude oil (-5.4 percent vs -4.4 percent), natural gas (-3.9 percent vs -0.5 percent), cement (-4.9 percent vs 7.9 percent), and electricity (-2.9 percent vs 4.7 percent). By contrast, there were increases in petroleum refinery products (2.6 percent vs -0.9 percent), fertilizers (2.9 percent vs 1.5 percent), and steel (5 percent vs 8.9 percent).

2019-09-02
India Infrastructure Output Growth Accelerates
India's infrastructure output growth picked up to 2.1 percent year-on-year in July 2019 from an upwardly revised 0.7 percent in the previous month, boosted by electricity (4.2 percent vs 8.1 percent in June); steel (6.6 percent vs 8.4 percent); cement (7.9 percent vs -1.7 percent); and fertilizers (1.5 percent, the same as in June). In contrast, output declines were recorded for refinery products (-0.9 percent vs -9.3 percent); coal (-1.4 percent vs 3.2 percent); crude oil (-4.4 percent vs -6.8 percent); and natural gas (-0.5 percent vs -2.1 percent). Considering April to July 2019-20, infrastructure output growth eased to 3 percent from 5.9 percent in the same period of the previous fiscal year.

2019-07-31
India Infrastructure Output Growth at 3-1/2-Year Low
India's infrastructure output grew 0.2 percent from a year earlier in June 2019, the least since November 2015, mainly due to a slump in production of refinery products (-9.3 percent vs -1.5 percent in May), crude oil (-6.8 percent vs -6.9 percent), natural gas (-2.1 percent vs unchanged), and cement (-1.5 percent vs 2.8 percent). By contrast, output grew for electricity (7.3 percent vs 7.4 percent), steel (6.9 percent vs 15.3 percent), coal (3.2 percent vs 1.9 percent), and fertilizers (1.5 percent vs -1.0 percent).

2019-07-01
India Infrastructure Output Growth Eases in May
Infrastructure production in India rose 5.1 percent year-on-year in May 2019, slowing from an upwardly revised a 6.3 percent gain in the previous month. Output growth eased for coal (1.8 percent compared to 3.2 percent in April) and production dropped for refinery products (-1.5 percent compared to 4.3 percent). Also, crude oil production declined further (-6.9 percent compared to -6.7 percent). On the other hand, output went up at a faster pace for electricity (7.2 percent compared to 5.9 percent); steel (19.9 percent compared to 19 percent); and cement (2.8 percent compared to 2.3 percent). Additionally, production of fertilizers fell less (-1 percent compared to -4.4 percent); and natural gas output was flat after dropping 0.8 percent in April.


India Infrastructure Output
In India, infrastructure output refers to a combined index that measures the performance of Eight Core Industries: refinery production (weight: 28%), electricity generation (19.9%), steel production (17.9%), coal production (10.3%), crude oil production (8.9%), natural gas production (6.9%), cement production (5.4%) and fertilizers production (2.6%). Infrastructure accounts for nearly 40 percent of India's industrial output.

India Housing Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Housing Index 105.00 103.00 107.00 77.00 points [+]
Construction Output -1.50 -5.80 11.66 -5.80 percent [+]