The Central Bank of Kenya held its benchmark interest rate at 9 percent during its July meeting, saying that inflation expectations remained well anchored withing the target range and that the economy was operating close to its potential Still, policymakers voiced concerns about the possible effects of the recent increases in fuel prices, the ongoing demonetization and the ongoing uncertainties in the external environment, in particular escalating trade tensions, Brexit and geopolitical tensions. Interest Rate in Kenya averaged 13.74 percent from 1991 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 84.67 percent in July of 1993 and a record low of 0.83 percent in September of 2003.

Interest Rate in Kenya is expected to be 9.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Interest Rate in Kenya to stand at 8.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Kenya Interest Rate is projected to trend around 9.00 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

Kenya Interest Rate
Forecast Data Chart
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-01-28 01:30 PM Interest Rate Decision 9% 9% 9% 9%
2019-03-27 01:30 PM Interest Rate Decision 9% 9% 9% 9%
2019-05-27 01:30 PM Interest Rate Decision 9% 9% 9% 9%
2019-07-24 01:30 PM Interest Rate Decision 9% 9% 9% 9%

Kenya Holds Key Interest Rate Unchanged at 9%

The Central Bank of Kenya left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 9% at its May 27th 2019 meeting, as widely expected. Policymakers said that the decision is appropriate and based on the backdrop of domestic stability, optimistic growth prospects, improving weather conditions in most parts of the country and increased uncertainties in the global financial markets. The Committee added that inflation expectations remained well anchored within the target and that the economy was operating close to its potential, but will keep an eye on possible spillovers of recent food and fuel price increases.

Excerpts from the MPC Press Release:

Month-on-month overall inflation remained within the target range in March and April 2019. The inflation rate stood at 6.6 percent in April compared to 4.4 percent in March, mainly reflecting increases in food prices attributed to depressed supply of vegetables and other fastgrowing food crops following the delayed onset of the long rains. Food inflation rose to 7.7 percent in April from 2.9 percent in March. However, non-food-non-fuel (NFNF) inflation remained below 5 percent, indicating that demand pressures and the spillovers of the rise in food and fuel prices were muted. Overall inflation is expected to remain within the target range in the near term largely due to expectations of lower food prices following improving weather conditions, and lower electricity prices with the reduced usage of expensive power sources. Additionally, a timely release of maize stocks from the Strategic Grain Reserve will support the stability of food prices.

Private sector credit grew by 4.9 percent in the 12 months to April, compared to 4.3 percent in March. Strong growth in credit to the private sector was observed in the following sectors: manufacturing (7.9 percent); trade (8.4 percent); finance and insurance (13.3 percent); and consumer durables (16.4 percent). Private sector credit growth is expected to continue to strengthen in the remainder of 2019. The banking sector remains stable and resilient.

The economy recovered strongly in 2018, with real GDP growth increasing to 6.3 percent from 4.9 percent in 2017. This reflected a strong recovery in agriculture, manufacturing, and a buoyant services sector, particularly trade, information and communication, accommodation and restaurants, transport and storage, and finance and insurance. Leading indicators of economic activity show that growth remained resilient in the first quarter of 2019, despite the delayed onset of the long rains. Growth in 2019 is expected to be supported by agricultural production, robust growth of MSMEs and the service sector, increased foreign direct investment and a stable macroeconomic environment. Additionally, the continued alignment of Government spending to the Big 4 priority sectors is expected to boost economic activity in manufacturing, agriculture, construction and real estate, and health sectors.

The MPC Private Sector Market Perception Survey conducted in May 2019 indicated that inflation expectations remained well anchored within the target range, with expectations of lower food prices following improved weather conditions, and the stability in the exchange rate.  

The Committee noted that inflation expectations remained well anchored within the target range, but there is need to remain vigilant on possible spillovers of recent food and fuel price increases. The Committee further noted that the economy was operating close to its potential. The MPC concluded that the current policy stance remains appropriate, and will continue to monitor any perverse response to its previous decisions. The Committee therefore decided to retain the CBR at 9.00 percent. 

The MPC will continue to closely monitor developments in the global and domestic economy, and stands ready to take additional measures as necessary.

Central Bank of Kenya | Luisa Carvalho |
5/28/2019 10:52:17 AM

Kenya Money Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Interest Rate 9.00 9.00 84.67 0.83 percent [+]
Money Supply M1 1498.73 1494.64 1520.26 71.50 KES Billion [+]
Interbank Rate 2.98 5.61 68.30 0.40 percent [+]
Money Supply M2 2866.98 2838.93 2866.98 231.09 KES Billion [+]
Money Supply M3 3487468.63 3415745.73 3487468.63 244755.00 KES Million [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 13368.60 11653.60 13368.60 853.00 USD Million [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 7.70 8.70 18.40 2.43 percent [+]
Loans To Private Sector 2326105.00 2335247.00 2344446.00 166281.00 KES Million [+]

Kenya Interest Rate

In Kenya, interest rates decisions are taken by The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the The Central Bank of Kenya. The official interest rate since August 2005 is the Central Bank Rate (CBR), which replaced the 91-day Treasury Bill (TB) rate. This page provides the latest reported value for - Kenya Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Kenya Interest Rate - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on August of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
9.00 9.00 84.67 0.83 1991 - 2019 percent Daily

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Argentina 55.99 Jul/19
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India 5.40 Aug/19
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United States 2.25 Jul/19
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Australia 1.00 Aug/19
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Euro Area 0.00 Jul/19
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Germany 0.00 Jul/19
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Japan -0.10 Aug/19
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