Kyrgyzstan - Economic Forecasts - 2018-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Kyrgyzstan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Kyrgyzstan economy.


Overview Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.50 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 percent
Inflation Rate 0.90 3.5 4 3.9 4.2 5.3 percent
Interest Rate 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.5 percent
Balance of Trade -327.40 -261 -187 -261 -261 -192 USD Million
Government Debt to GDP 53.90 65 65 60 60 58 percent
MARKETS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Currency 68.60
69.08 69.26 69.44 69.62 70.34
GDP Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 4.90
percent
2.7 3.5 4.6 5.2 5.4
GDP 7.56
USD Billion
7.8 7.8 8.1 8.1 8.3
GDP Constant Prices 520958.60
KGS Million
489192 539192 544923 548048 591041
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 63486.70
KGS Million
43191 65709 66407 66788 72027
GDP per capita 1070.32
USD
1098 1098 1105 1105 1118
GDP per capita PPP 3393.50
USD
3402 3402 3484 3484 3540
LABOUR Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 2.50
percent
2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5
Unemployed Persons 65.10
Thousand
63.8 58.5 59.1 60.7 63.3
Minimum Wages 1200.00
KGS/Month
1200 1200 1250 1250 1300
Population 6.14
Million
6.22 6.22 6.34 6.34 6.53
Employed Persons 543588.00
539000 541000 542500 541300 545000
Wages 17003.20
KGS/Month
15700 21600 16700 17500 23000
Wages In Manufacturing 15686.60
KGS/Month
15800 16000 16100 16350 17400
PRICES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Inflation Rate 0.90
percent
3.5 4 3.9 4.2 5.3
Core Inflation Rate 2.40
percent
3 3.2 3.1 2.8 3.1
Inflation Rate Mom 0.60
percent
0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8
Producer Prices 150.00
Index Points
155 153 157 157 166
Producer Prices Change -0.40
percent
1.5 1 1.3 1.9 4.7
Food Inflation -4.00
percent
-1.8 -1.2 0.5 1.5 3
GDP Deflator 104.40
Index Points
105 105 104 105 106
Consumer Price Index Cpi 254.10
Index Points
260 267 270 268 294
MONEY Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Interest Rate 4.75
percent
4.75 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.5
Money Supply M0 81058.30
KGS Million
79100 78800 80700 81300 79900
Foreign Exchange Reserves 2192.98
USD Million
2250 2270 2220 2285 2400
Deposit Interest Rate 2.75
percent
2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.5
Money Supply M1 118143.70
KGS Million
117500 119000 118700 117200 121000
Money Supply M2 146721.40
KGS Million
142800 143000 143300 143600 145000
TRADE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Balance of Trade -327.40
USD Million
-261 -187 -261 -261 -192
Exports 105.90
USD Million
147 125 147 147 220
Imports 433.30
USD Million
408 312 408 408 412
Current Account -417.40
USD Million
-43.5 -43.5 -35.9 -35.9 -39.7
Current Account to GDP -12.00
percent
-12.5 -12.5 -11.1 -11.1 -11.8
Gold Reserves 7.95
Tonnes
9.3 9.8 10.8 11.4 13.2
Tourist Arrivals 1273.20
Thousand
1285 1285 1298 1298 1300
Remittances 256.50
USD Million
245 260 207 222 210
Terrorism Index 1.99
1.64 1.64 1.52 1.52 1.36
Foreign Direct Investment -130.30
USD Million
49.8 71.1 104 52.1 -50.6
External Debt 7967.80
KGS Million
8199 8242 8278 8356 8600
Crude Oil Production 1.00
BBL/D/1K
1 1 1 1 1
GOVERNMENT Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Government Debt to GDP 53.90
percent
65 65 60 60 58
Government Budget -3.20
percent of GDP
-2.8 -2.8 -1.7 -1.7 -1.9
Government Revenues 81707929.50
KGS Thousand
103000000 150000000 35000000 74000000 161000000
Government Debt 3899.00
USD Million
4173 4237 4297 4302 4550
Fiscal Expenditure 83714359.70
KGS Thousand
109500000 171000000 38000000 75700000 160000000
Military Expenditure 211.29
USD Million
218 218 225 225 233
Government Spending 8163.90
KGS Million
63040 93649 8539 8588 102654
Government Budget Value -3.32
KGS Billion
-6500000 -21000000 -3000000 -1700000 1000000
BUSINESS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Industrial Production -10.20
percent
-2.7 4.7 5.1 5.7 5.3
Manufacturing Production -12.20
percent
-1.8 4.2 4.5 4.7 5.1
Internet Speed 3814.45
KBps
4185 4212 4245 4273 4365
IP Addresses 125795.00
IP
118743 118747 118744 117675 116929
Leading Economic Index -0.30
percent
2.6 3.5 3.7 3.2 5.2
Mining Production -1.50
percent
-29.4 -27.5 -29.4 -25.2 -18.4
Ease of Doing Business 77.00
79 79 80 80 82
Corruption Index 29.00
Points
29 29 28 28 30
Corruption Rank 135.00
134 134 136 136 139
Changes In Inventories 10728.30
KGS Million
5483 -4474 2710 2708 -2378
Competitiveness Index 3.90
Points
3.9 3.9 4 4 3.8
Competitiveness Rank 102.00
102 102 101 101 103
CONSUMER Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Retail Sales Yoy 4.00
percent
3.1 4.7 5.2 4.6 5.5
Consumer Confidence 27.40
Index Points
28.53 33.5 33.8 34.2 37.3
Consumer Spending 84018.90
KGS Million
131024 122271 87884 88388 134029
HOUSING Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Housing Starts 602.00
units
657 641 614 631 690
TAXES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Sales Tax Rate 12.00
percent
12 12 12 12 12
CLIMATE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Precipitation 21.76
mm
14.94 29.38 32.17 33.19 32.09
Temperature -8.56
celsius
14.5 -3.29 -8.33 12.57 3.29