Industrial production in Mauritius rose 2.2 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2018, following an upwardly revised 0.5 percent decrease in the previous period. It is the strongest increase in industrial activity since Q4 2017. Output rebounded for manufacturing (2.3 percent vs -1.1 percent in Q3) and grew much master for water supply (6.6 percent vs 1.0 percent). Meanwhile, production slowed for mining & quarrying (2.6 percent vs 3.1 percent) and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply (1.1 percent vs 1.4 percent). On a quarterly basis, industrial output surged 16.3 percent, recovering from an upwardly revised 1 percent decline in the third quarter. In 2018, industrial production grew 0.8 percent, below 2.2 percent in 2017 and posting the smallest gain since 2014. Industrial Production in Mauritius averaged 2.04 percent from 2009 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 6.77 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 and a record low of -2.90 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011.
Industrial Production in Mauritius is expected to be 0.60 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Industrial Production in Mauritius to stand at 2.40 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Mauritius Industrial Production is projected to trend around 2.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.