Two-year inflation expectations in New Zealand, considered the timeframe through which policy action filters through to prices, eased to 1.80 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 from 1.86 percent in the previous three-month period. The forecast for annual inflation averaged 1.66 percent over the coming year, down from 1.71 percent in the previous survey in August. Inflation Expectations in New Zealand averaged 2.54 percent from 1987 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 8.30 percent in the third quarter of 1987 and a record low of 1.60 percent in the second quarter of 1994. source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Inflation Expectations in New Zealand is expected to be 1.90 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Inflation Expectations in New Zealand to stand at 2.10 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the New Zealand Business 2-Year Inflation Expectations is projected to trend around 2.00 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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New Zealand Business 2-Year Inflation Expectations

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
1.80 1.86 8.30 1.60 1987 - 2019 percent Quarterly
NSA



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-02-12 02:00 AM Q1 2.02% 2.03% 2%
2019-05-07 03:00 AM Q2 2.01% 2.02% 2%
2019-08-06 03:00 AM Q3 1.86% 2.01% 2%
2019-11-12 02:00 AM Q4 1.8% 1.86% 1.8%
2020-02-11 02:00 AM Q1 1.8% 2%


News Stream
2019-02-12
New Zealand Q1 2-Year Inflation Expectations Little-Changed
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) quarterly survey of expectations showed business managers forecast of inflation in the next two years was 2.02 percent in the first quarter of 2019, little-changed from 2.03 percent in the previous period. Meanwhile, inflation expectations for the coming year fell to 1.82 percent from 2.09 percent in the previous quarter.


New Zealand Business 2-Year Inflation Expectations
In New Zealand, business inflation expectations refer to two-year inflation forecast. Two years is seen as the timeframe when any central bank monetary policy action will filter through to prices.

New Zealand Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 1.50 1.70 44.00 -15.30 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.70 0.60 8.90 -4.10 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 1039.00 1032.00 1039.00 16.50 points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 1039.00 1032.00 1039.00 512.60 points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.50 1.70 7.91 0.00 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 1220.00 1208.00 1220.00 590.00 points [+]
Producer Prices 1164.00 1154.00 1164.00 165.78 points [+]
Export Prices 1233.00 1210.00 1269.00 85.30 points [+]
Import Prices 843.00 843.00 1128.00 70.43 points [+]
Inflation Expectations 1.80 1.86 8.30 1.60 percent [+]
Cpi Housing Utilities 1073.00 1060.00 1073.00 536.80 points [+]
CPI Transportation 1028.00 1023.00 1099.90 743.20 points [+]
Food Inflation 2.40 2.40 25.20 -2.00 percent [+]