The CBI Business Optimism Indicator for the UK dropped to -44 in the last quarter of 2019 from -32 in the previous three-month period. It was the lowest reading since the third quarter of 2019, amid Brexit uncertainty. Also, optimism about export prospects for the year ahead worsened to the greatest extent since October 2001 and investment intentions deteriorated, with plans to spend on buildings, plant & machinery and training & retraining at their most negative since the financial crisis. New orders declined at the same pace as the previous quarter, still firms expect them to fall at a steeper rate in the three months to January. Quarterly headcount was down, dropping at its fastest since April 2010, with firms anticipating an even sharper fall the following quarter. Business Confidence in the United Kingdom averaged -3.84 Index Points from 1958 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 55 Index Points in the third quarter of 1959 and a record low of -75 Index Points in the first quarter of 1974.

Business Confidence in the United Kingdom is expected to be -20.00 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Business Confidence in the United Kingdom to stand at -8.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Business Confidence is projected to trend around -2.00 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United Kingdom Business Confidence
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-01-23 11:00 AM CBI Business Optimism Index Q1 -23 -16 -26
2019-04-26 10:00 AM CBI Business Optimism Index Q2 -13 -23 -12
2019-07-23 10:00 AM CBI Business Optimism Index Q3 -32 -13 -14
2019-10-22 10:00 AM CBI Business Optimism Index Q4 -44 -32 -38


United Kingdom Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence -44.00 -32.00 55.00 -75.00 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 48.30 47.40 61.50 34.40 [+]
Services PMI 49.50 50.60 62.50 40.10 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production -1.80 -1.10 22.60 -12.00 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -0.60 0.10 9.70 -7.80 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -1.70 -0.90 19.60 -16.90 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 79.00 80.70 85.20 38.00 percent [+]
New Orders 10922.00 11975.00 25109.00 9381.00 GBP Million [+]
Factory Orders -37.00 -28.00 21.00 -79.00 Net Balance [+]
Changes in Inventories -705.00 5530.00 11359.00 -9083.00 GBP Million [+]
Bankruptcies 4320.00 4212.00 6919.00 924.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 111745.00 115312.00 115312.00 1024.00 GBP Million [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -62.00 -68.80 61.00 -80.60 [+]
Car Production 92158.00 108239.00 185157.00 43773.00 Units [+]
Car Registrations 343255.00 92573.00 562337.00 33051.00 [+]
Small Business Sentiment -24.00 -13.00 40.00 -69.00 [+]
Internet Speed 16920.86 16337.23 16920.86 3085.89 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 27493519.00 26782989.00 27493519.00 13305856.00 IP [+]
Mining Production -7.50 -5.90 855.60 -90.50 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index 0.30 0.10 1.90 -2.10 percent [+]
Private Investment -0.40 0.80 51.50 -11.40 percent [+]
Steel Production 563.00 645.00 2848.00 131.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Competitiveness Index 81.20 81.99 82.11 5.18 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 9.00 8.00 13.00 2.00 [+]
Composite Pmi 49.30 50.20 61.80 47.60 [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 14.00 16.00 32.00 3.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 9.00 7.00 11.00 5.00 [+]
Electricity Production 25260.00 23402.00 38520.00 16152.00 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 80.00 82.00 87.00 74.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 11.00 8.00 20.00 8.00 [+]


United Kingdom Business Confidence

In the United Kingdom, the Business Optimism Index is published by the Confederation of British Industry's in its Industrial Trends Survey. An average of 400 small, medium and large companies from the manufacturing sector is surveyed each quarter. The Questionnaire accesses the overall sentiment regarding general and export business situation, investment, capacity, order books, employment, output, stocks, prices competitiveness regarding domestic, EU and non-EU markets and innovation and training. For each assessment is computed a sub-index as the percentage of positive answers minus the percentage of negative answers. The composite index is then computed as the weighted average of the sub-indices. An Optimism Index of +100 indicates that all survey respondents are much more confident about future prospects, while -100 suggests that all survey respondents are much less confident about future prospects. An index level of 0 indicates neutrality. This page provides - United Kingdom Business Confidence - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. United Kingdom Business Confidence - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on October of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
-44.00 -32.00 55.00 -75.00 1958 - 2019 Index Points Quarterly




Country Last Previous
Australia 0.00 Sep/19
Brazil 59.30 Oct/19
Canada 48.70 Sep/19
China 49.80 Sep/19
Euro Area -0.22 Sep/19
France 102.00 Sep/19
Germany 94.60 Sep/19
India 112.80 Sep/19
Indonesia 108.81 Jun/19
Italy 98.80 Sep/19
Japan 5.00 Sep/19
Mexico 50.30 Sep/19
Netherlands 3.30 Sep/19
Russia -2.00 Sep/19
Saudi Arabia 3.00 Jun/16
Singapore -11.00 Jun/19
South Africa 21.00 Sep/19
South Korea 71.00 Sep/19
Spain -5.30 Sep/19
Switzerland 93.20 Sep/19
Turkey 98.80 Sep/19
United Kingdom -44.00 Dec/19
United States 47.80 Sep/19


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