The ISM Manufacturing PMI in the US fell to 51.7 in June 2019 from 52.1 in the previous month, beating market expectations of 51.0. Still, the latest reading pointed to weakest pace of expansion in the manufacturing sector since October 2016 as the new order index dropped to the lowest since December 2015 and the prices paid index fell to an over three-year low. Business Confidence in the United States is reported by Institute for Supply Management.

Business Confidence in the United States is expected to be 51.00 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Business Confidence in the United States to stand at 52.60 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is projected to trend around 50.00 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
width
height
Forecast Data Chart
The Trading Economics Application Programming Interface (API) provides direct access to our data. It allows API clients to download millions of rows of historical data, to query our real-time economic calendar, subscribe to updates and receive quotes for currencies, commodities, stocks and bonds.


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-07-01 02:00 PM ISM Manufacturing Prices Jun 47.9 53.2 53.0 52.4
2019-07-01 02:00 PM ISM Manufacturing New Orders Jun 50.0 52.7 52.5 52.3
2019-07-01 02:00 PM ISM Manufacturing Employment Jun 54.5 53.7 52.8 52.9
2019-07-01 02:00 PM ISM Manufacturing PMI Jun 51.7 52.1 51.0 51.7
2019-08-01 02:00 PM ISM Manufacturing PMI Jul 51.7 52.7 51.1
2019-09-03 02:00 PM ISM Manufacturing PMI Aug 52
2019-10-01 02:00 PM ISM Manufacturing PMI Sep 51



US Manufacturing Growth Weakest since 2016

The ISM Manufacturing PMI in the US fell to 51.7 in June 2019 from 52.1 in the previous month, beating market expectations of 51.0. Still, the latest reading pointed to weakest pace of expansion in the manufacturing sector since October 2016.

The new orders index dropped 2.7 points from a month earlier to 50.0, the lowest since December 2015, and the prices paid index fell 5.3 points to 47.9, the weakest since February 2016. In addition, decreases were also recorded for supplier deliveries (-1.3 points to 50.7) and inventories (-1.8 points to 49.1). Meanwhile, the production index gained 2.8 points to 54.1 and the employment index increased 0.8 points to 54.5.

“Comments from the panel reflect continued expanding business strength, but at soft levels; June was the third straight month with slowing PMI® expansion. Demand expansion ended, with the New Orders Index recording zero expansion, the Customers’ Inventories Index remaining at a too-low level, and the Backlog of Orders Index contracting for the second straight month. New export orders remain weak. Consumption (measured by the Production and Employment indexes) continued to expand, resulting in a combined increase of 3.6 percentage points. Inputs — expressed as supplier deliveries, inventories and imports — were lower this month, due to inventory contraction and suppliers continuing to deliver faster, resulting in a combined 3.1-percentage point reduction in the Supplier Deliveries and Inventories indexes. Imports registered zero expansion. Overall, inputs indicate (1) supply chains are responding faster and (2) supply managers are again closely watching inventories. Prices contracted for the first time since February.

“Respondents expressed concern about U.S.-China trade turbulence, potential Mexico trade actions and the global economy. Overall, sentiment this month is evenly mixed,” says Fiore.

Of the 18 manufacturing industries, 12 reported growth in June, in the following order: Furniture & Related Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Textile Mills; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Chemical Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Paper Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; and Machinery. The five industries reporting contraction in June are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Primary Metals; Wood Products; Transportation Equipment; and Fabricated Metal Products.


Institute for Supply Management | Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
7/1/2019 2:22:20 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 51.70 52.10 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.60 50.50 57.90 50.50 [+]
Services PMI 51.50 50.90 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.10 56.90 62.00 37.80 [+]
Composite Pmi 51.50 50.90 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 1.30 2.10 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.00 0.40 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 0.40 0.70 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 77.92 78.09 89.39 66.69 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders -1.30 -2.80 23.20 -18.40 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense -0.60 -3.30 25.50 -19.20 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.30 -0.10 6.30 -10.20 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.10 0.20 4.60 -7.00 percent [+]
New Orders 493569.00 499273.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders -0.70 -1.20 10.40 -9.70 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.30 0.50 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 122.84 96.80 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories 0.40 0.80 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22157.00 22232.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2012.30 2076.20 2076.82 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 103.30 105.00 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 4.30 -8.60 39.00 -34.40 Index Points [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 21.80 0.30 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -12.00 2.00 27.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 50.00 48.60 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.02 -0.03 2.79 -5.28 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -12.10 -5.30 47.60 -59.90 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 49.70 54.20 78.60 21.20 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.62 2.56 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 465.92 432.61 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 17.30 17.30 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.12 -9.50 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change 62.00 81.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change 3565.00 -1455.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 127.88 127.79 127.88 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change -1.40 -8.13 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 779.00 784.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7653.00 7428.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index -3.00 2.00 37.00 -32.00 Index Points [+]
Mining Production 8.70 10.70 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

The Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Imports, Production, Supplier Deliveries, Inventories, Customers' Inventories, Employment and Prices), the report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of responses in the positive economic direction and the negative economic direction, and the diffusion index. A PMI™ reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on July of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
51.70 52.10 77.50 29.40 1948 - 2019 Index Points Monthly




Country Last Previous
Australia 2.00 Jun/19
Brazil 57.40 Jul/19
Canada 52.40 Jun/19
China 49.40 Jun/19
Euro Area 0.17 Jun/19
France 102.00 Jun/19
Germany 97.40 Jun/19
India 113.50 Jun/19
Indonesia 102.10 Mar/19
Italy 100.80 Jun/19
Japan 7.00 Jun/19
Mexico 51.20 Jun/19
Netherlands 3.30 Jun/19
Russia -1.00 Jun/19
Saudi Arabia 3.00 Jun/16
Singapore 1.00 Mar/19
South Africa 28.00 Jun/19
South Korea 75.00 Jun/19
Spain -3.70 Jun/19
Switzerland 93.60 Jun/19
Turkey 102.50 Jun/19
United Kingdom -32.00 Sep/19
United States 51.70 Jun/19


Related

Latest