United States Consumer Sentiment - Forecast

Consumer Confidence in the United States is expected to be 97.00 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Confidence in the United States to stand at 96.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Consumer Sentiment is projected to trend around 86.70 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.


United States Consumer Sentiment
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United States Consumer Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 97.1 97 93 95 96 86.7
Retail Sales MoM 0.5 0.41 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 6.6 5.2 4 4.2 6.49 4
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.4 0.42 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.4
Consumer Spending 12061 12214 12360 12363 12363 13037
Disposable Personal Income 14930 15062 15170 15278 15385 16460
Personal Spending 0.2 0.33 0.7 0.33 0.33 0.5
Personal Income 0.4 0.32 0.4 0.31 0.31 0.31
Personal Savings 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.14 4.2
Consumer Credit 24.6 15.52 15.05 15.05 15.04 15.04
Private Sector Credit 9347 9406 9451 9495 9536 9843
Bank Lending Rate 4.89 5.14 5.39 5.39 5.64 5.89
Economic Optimism Index 56.4 52.9 52.3 52 51.3 50
Redbook Index 3.3 3.8 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81
Chain Store Sales 4410 4617 4595 4602 4600 4601
Gasoline Prices 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.63 0.6 0.34
Households Debt To Gdp 78.7 78.68 81.2 78.76 78.79 82.6
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 113 113 113 113 113 113
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 80.2 82.73 82.74 82.74 82.74 82.74
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 2.7 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66