New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 2.7 percent from a month earlier in March 2019, rebounding from a downwardly revised 1.1 percent fall in February and above market expectations of a 0.8 percent gain. It is the biggest increase since August last year, led by transportation equipment. Durable Goods Orders in the United States averaged 0.33 percent from 1992 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 23.50 percent in July of 2014 and a record low of -19 percent in August of 2014.

Durable Goods Orders in the United States is expected to be 2.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Durable Goods Orders in the United States to stand at 0.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Durable Goods Orders is projected to trend around 0.30 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Durable Goods Orders
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-02-21 01:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 1.2% 1% 1.5% 2.5%
2019-03-13 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 0.4% 1.3% -0.5% -0.9%
2019-04-02 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM -1.6% 0.1% -1.8% -0.7%
2019-04-25 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 2.7% -1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
2019-05-24 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 2.7% -2% -1.7%
2019-06-26 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM
2019-07-25 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 2.2%



US Durable Goods Orders Rise the Most in 7 Months

New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 2.7 percent from a month earlier in March 2019, rebounding from a downwardly revised 1.1 percent fall in February and above market expectations of a 0.8 percent gain. It is the biggest increase since August last year, led by transportation equipment.

Orders for transport equipment jumped 7.0 percent in March (percent vs -2.9 percent in February), driven by civilian aircraft (31.2 percent vs -25.4 percent), aircraft and parts (17.7 percent vs 4.9 percent) and motor vehicles and parts (2.1 percent vs a flat reading). Demand also increased for machinery (0.3 percent vs -0.7 percent) and computers and electronic products (2.2 percent vs 0.3 percent). Meanwhile, demand for electrical equipment, appliances, and components slowed (0.1 percent vs 1.1 percent), namely primary metals (-0.2 percent vs 0.7 percent).

Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, advanced 1.3 percent, after increasing 0.1 percent in February, boosted by a jump in demand for computers and electronic products. It was the largest increase since July last year.  

Excluding transportation, new orders edged up 0.4 percent (vs -0.2 percent in February). Excluding defense, new orders rose 2.3 percent (vs -1.7 percent in February).

Shipments of manufactured durable goods in March, up four of the last five months, increased $0.9 billion or 0.3 percent to $259.6 billion. This followed a 0.3 percent February increase. Transportation equipment, up following two consecutive monthly decreases, drove the increase, $1.0 billion or 1.1 percent to $90.7
billion.

Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in March, up two of the last three months, increased $3.2 billion or 0.3 percent to $1,181.9 billion. This followed a 0.2 percent February decrease. Transportation equipment, also up two of the last three months, led the increase, $3.1 billion or 0.4 percent to $811.9 billion.

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in March, up twenty-six of the last twenty-seven months, increased $1.4 billion or 0.3 percent to $420.5 billion. This followed a 0.4 percent February increase. Machinery, up fifteen of the last sixteen months, led the increase, $0.7 billion or 1.0 percent to $71.6 billion.  

Non-defense new orders for capital goods in March increased $4.9 billion or 6.5 percent to $80.5 billion. Shipments increased less than $0.1 billion or virtually unchanged to $79.0 billion. Unfilled orders increased $1.4 billion or 0.2 percent to $708.2 billion. Inventories increased $1.3 billion or 0.7 percent to $184.9 billion. Defense new orders for capital goods in March increased $1.0 billion or 7.4 percent to $13.9 billion. Shipments increased $0.1 billion or 1.0 percent to $12.6 billion. Unfilled orders increased $1.4 billion or 0.9 percent to $158.1 billion. Inventories increased $0.2 billion or 0.8 percent to $23.1 billion.


US Census Bureau | Stefanie Moya | stefanie.moya@tradingeconomics.com
4/25/2019 1:04:14 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 52.80 55.30 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.60 52.60 57.90 50.60 [+]
Services PMI 50.90 53.00 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.50 56.10 62.00 37.80 [+]
Composite Pmi 50.90 53.00 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 0.90 2.30 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -0.50 0.20 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -0.20 0.70 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 77.93 78.46 89.39 66.69 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders 2.70 -1.10 23.50 -19.00 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 2.30 -1.70 26.00 -19.70 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.40 -0.20 7.50 -6.80 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.80 0.30 4.60 -7.20 percent [+]
New Orders 508192.00 497474.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders 1.90 -0.30 10.60 -10.00 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.00 0.30 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 128.39 96.80 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories -0.10 0.40 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22157.00 22232.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2076.20 2076.82 2076.82 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 103.50 101.80 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 77.30 66.90 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 16.60 8.50 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 17.80 10.10 39.00 -34.40 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 3.00 10.00 29.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.45 0.05 2.78 -5.27 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 2.00 6.90 47.60 -59.90 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 52.60 58.70 78.60 21.20 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.42 2.46 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 377.46 389.93 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 16.40 17.45 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change 4.74 5.43 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change 100.00 106.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change 3716.00 -1123.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 125.78 125.56 125.78 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change 2.40 8.60 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 802.00 805.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7752.00 6896.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production 10.40 9.80 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States Durable Goods Orders

Durable Goods Orders refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods which meant to last at least three years. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Durable Goods Orders - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Durable Goods Orders - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on May of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
2.70 -1.10 23.50 -19.00 1992 - 2019 percent Monthly
Current Prices, SA




Country Last Previous
United States 2.70 Mar/19


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