The IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI was revised higher to 50.6 in June 2019 from a preliminary estimate of 50.1 and was little-changed from May's final 50.5. Still, that was the second-lowest figure since September 2009. Manufacturing PMI in the United States is reported by Markit Economics.

Manufacturing PMI in the United States is expected to be 51.10 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Manufacturing PMI in the United States to stand at 50.60 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.20 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Manufacturing PMI
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US Manufacturing PMI Revised Higher

The IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI was revised higher to 50.6 in June 2019 from a preliminary estimate of 50.1 and was little-changed from May's final 50.5. Still, that was the second-lowest figure since September 2009.

Supporting the headline number was a renewed rise in new business in June. The upturn was linked by panellists to the acquisition of new clients. That said, the rate of increase was only modest overall and among the slowest seen over the last three years. In contrast, the pace of growth in new business from abroad was the quickest in 2019 so far, following a slight fall in May.

Consequently, manufacturers registered a faster rise in production in June. Nevertheless, the rate of expansion was only moderate and the second-slowest since June 2016 (behind May's recent low), as firms continued to report difficult demand conditions.

Uncertainty surrounding future output growth weighed on hiring decisions among goods producers, with the rate of job creation softening to the least marked since August 2016. Expectations of production growth over the coming year remained solemn and among the weakest in the survey history in June. Manufacturing firms often raised concerns surrounding tariffs and the softer trend in new orders.

Meanwhile, cost burdens faced by manufacturers continued to rise at a historically muted rate in June. Higher input prices were attributed to the ongoing effects of tariffs on raw material purchases. However, some firms stated that hikes in costs were less marked compared to earlier in the year.

Subsequently, output charges increased at only a modest rate. Some firms partly passed on costs to clients, whereas others highlighted the importance of discounting efforts in order to attract and retain clients.

In line with muted demand conditions, firms continued to deplete their stocks. Notably, pre-production inventories fell at the quickest rate since the start of 2014 as input buying rose only fractionally.


Markit Economics | Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
7/1/2019 2:08:20 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 51.70 52.10 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.60 50.50 57.90 50.50 [+]
Services PMI 51.50 50.90 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.10 56.90 62.00 37.80 [+]
Composite Pmi 51.50 50.90 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 1.30 2.10 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.00 0.40 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 0.40 0.70 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 77.92 78.09 89.39 66.69 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders -1.30 -2.80 23.20 -18.40 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense -0.60 -3.30 25.50 -19.20 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.30 -0.10 6.30 -10.20 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.10 0.20 4.60 -7.00 percent [+]
New Orders 493569.00 499273.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders -0.70 -1.20 10.40 -9.70 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.30 0.50 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 122.84 96.80 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories 0.40 0.80 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22157.00 22232.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2012.30 2076.20 2076.82 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 103.30 105.00 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 4.30 -8.60 39.00 -34.40 Index Points [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 21.80 0.30 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 3.00 5.00 29.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 50.00 48.60 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.05 -0.48 2.78 -5.27 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -12.10 -5.30 47.60 -59.90 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 49.70 54.20 78.60 21.20 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.62 2.56 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 465.92 432.55 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 17.30 17.30 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.12 -9.50 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change 62.00 81.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change 3565.00 -1455.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 127.88 127.79 127.88 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change -1.40 -8.13 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 779.00 784.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7653.00 7428.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index -3.00 2.00 37.00 -32.00 Index Points [+]
Mining Production 8.70 10.70 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States Manufacturing PMI

In the United States, the Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 600 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Manufacturing PMI - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on July of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
50.60 50.50 57.90 50.50 2012 - 2019 Monthly
SA




Country Last Previous
Australia 49.43 Jun/19
Brazil 51.00 Jun/19
Canada 49.20 Jun/19
China 49.40 Jun/19
Euro Area 47.60 Jun/19
France 51.90 Jun/19
Germany 45.00 Jun/19
India 52.10 Jun/19
Indonesia 50.60 Jun/19
Italy 48.40 Jun/19
Japan 49.30 Jun/19
Mexico 49.20 Jun/19
Netherlands 50.70 Jun/19
Russia 48.60 Jun/19
Saudi Arabia 57.40 Jun/19
Singapore 49.60 Jun/19
South Africa 46.20 Jun/19
South Korea 47.50 Jun/19
Spain 47.90 Jun/19
Switzerland 47.70 Jun/19
Turkey 47.90 Jun/19
United Kingdom 48.00 Jun/19
United States 50.60 Jun/19


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