The IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI dropped to 50.6 in May 2019 from the previous month's 52.6 and below market expectations of 52.5, a preliminary estimate showed. The latest reading pointed to the weakest pace of expansion in the manufacturing sector since September 2009. Manufacturing PMI in the United States is reported by Markit Economics.

Manufacturing PMI in the United States is expected to be 52.80 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Manufacturing PMI in the United States to stand at 51.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.20 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Manufacturing PMI
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US Manufacturing Growth Slows to Decade Low

The IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI dropped to 50.6 in May 2019 from the previous month's 52.6 and below market expectations of 52.5, a preliminary estimate showed. The latest reading pointed to the weakest pace of expansion in the manufacturing sector since September 2009.

Underlying data indicated a broad-based slowdown in the rates of expansion for output, employment and pre-production inventories, while new orders declined for the first time since August 2009.

New orders were stymied by reports of weaker overall demand conditions and hesitancy among clients to place orders. The fall in new business was only fractional, but signalled a marked turnaround from the solid rise seen in April. Data suggested that demand from both domestic and foreign clients declined during the month, as exports also fell.

In contrast to the trend seen for the service sector, manufacturers raised their output prices in May. That said, the rate of increase was only slight. Factory input costs meanwhile rose at the weakest rate for nearly two years, in part reflecting increased price competition among suppliers amid signs of excess capacity developing.


Markit Economics | Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
5/23/2019 1:53:47 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 52.80 55.30 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.60 52.60 57.90 50.60 [+]
Services PMI 50.90 53.00 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.50 56.10 62.00 37.80 [+]
Composite Pmi 50.90 53.00 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 0.90 2.30 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -0.50 0.20 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -0.20 0.70 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 77.93 78.46 89.39 66.69 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders 2.70 -1.10 23.50 -19.00 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 2.30 -1.70 26.00 -19.70 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.40 -0.20 7.50 -6.80 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.80 0.30 4.60 -7.20 percent [+]
New Orders 508192.00 497474.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders 1.90 -0.30 10.60 -10.00 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.00 0.30 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 128.39 96.80 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories -0.10 0.40 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22157.00 22232.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2076.20 2076.82 2076.82 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 103.50 101.80 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 77.30 66.90 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 16.60 8.50 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 17.80 10.10 39.00 -34.40 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 3.00 10.00 29.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.45 0.05 2.78 -5.27 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 2.00 6.90 47.60 -59.90 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 52.60 58.70 78.60 21.20 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.42 2.46 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 377.46 389.93 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 16.40 17.45 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change 4.74 5.43 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change 100.00 106.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change 3716.00 -1123.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 125.78 125.56 125.78 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change 2.40 8.60 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 802.00 805.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7752.00 6896.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production 10.40 9.80 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States Manufacturing PMI

In the United States, the Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 600 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Manufacturing PMI - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on May of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
50.60 52.60 57.90 50.60 2012 - 2019 Monthly
SA




Country Last Previous
Australia 54.80 Apr/19
Brazil 51.50 Apr/19
Canada 49.70 Apr/19
China 50.20 Apr/19
Euro Area 47.70 May/19
France 50.60 May/19
Germany 44.30 May/19
India 51.80 Apr/19
Indonesia 50.40 Apr/19
Italy 49.10 Apr/19
Japan 49.60 May/19
Mexico 50.10 Apr/19
Netherlands 52.00 Apr/19
Russia 51.80 Apr/19
Saudi Arabia 56.80 Apr/19
Singapore 50.30 Apr/19
South Africa 47.20 Apr/19
South Korea 50.20 Apr/19
Spain 51.80 Apr/19
Switzerland 48.50 Apr/19
Turkey 46.80 Apr/19
United Kingdom 53.10 Apr/19
United States 50.60 May/19


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