Nonfarm payrolls in the US increased by 312 thousand in December 2018, following an upwardly revised 176 thousand rise in November and easily beating below market expectations of 177 thousand. Job gains occurred in health care, food services and drinking places, construction, manufacturing, and retail trade. The December jobs gain pushed total US employment above 150 million jobs for the first time. Non Farm Payrolls in the United States averaged 125.48 Thousand from 1939 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 1115 Thousand in September of 1983 and a record low of -1967 Thousand in September of 1945.

Non Farm Payrolls in the United States is expected to be 193.00 Thousand by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Farm Payrolls in the United States to stand at 150.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Non Farm Payrolls is projected to trend around 170.00 Thousand in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Non Farm Payrolls
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-10-05 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 134K 270K 185K 195K
2018-11-02 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 250K 118K 190K 180K
2018-12-07 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 155K 237K 200K 189K
2019-01-04 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 312K 176K 177K 165K
2019-02-01 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 312K 183K
2019-03-08 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls
2019-04-05 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 193K



US Nonfarm Payrolls Rise the Most in 10 Months

Nonfarm payrolls in the US increased by 312 thousand in December 2018, following an upwardly revised 176 thousand rise in November and easily beating below market expectations of 177 thousand. Job gains occurred in health care, food services and drinking places, construction, manufacturing, and retail trade. The December jobs gain pushed total US employment above 150 million jobs for the first time.

Employment in health care rose by 50,000 in December. Within the industry, job gains occurred in ambulatory health care services (+38,000) and hospitals (+7,000). Health care added 346,000 jobs in 2018, more than the gain of 284,000 jobs in 2017.

In December, employment in food services and drinking places increased by 41,000. Over the year, the industry added 235,000 jobs, similar to the increase in 2017 (+261,000).

Construction employment rose by 38,000 in December, with job gains in heavy and civil engineering construction (+16,000) and nonresidential specialty trade construction (+16,000). The construction industry added 280,000 jobs in 2018, compared with an increase of 250,000 in 2017.

Manufacturing added 32,000 jobs in December. Most of the gain occurred in the durable goods component (+19,000), with job growth in fabricated metal products (+7,000) and in computer and electronic products (+4,000). Employment in the nondurable goods component also increased over the month (+13,000). Manufacturing employment increased by 284,000 over the year, with about three-fourths of the gain in durable goods  industries. Manufacturing had added 207,000 jobs in 2017.

In December, employment in retail trade rose by 24,000. Job growth occurred in general merchandise stores (+15,000) and automobile dealers (+6,000). These gains were partially offset by a job loss in sporting goods, hobby, book, and music stores (-9,000). Retail trade employment increased by 92,000 in 2018, after little net change in 2017 (-29,000).

Over the month, employment in professional and business services continued to trend up (+43,000). The industry added 583,000 jobs in 2018, outpacing the 458,000 jobs added in 2017.

Employment in other major industries, including mining, wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing, information, financial activities, and government, showed little change over the month.

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.1 hour to 34.5 hours in December. In manufacturing, both the workweek and overtime increased by 0.1 hour to 40.9 hours and 3.6 hours, respectively. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls held at 33.7 hours.

In December, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose 11 cents to $27.48. Over the year, average hourly earnings have increased by 84 cents, or 3.2 percent. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 9 cents to $23.05 in December.


BLS | Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
1/4/2019 1:57:50 PM



United States Labour Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Unemployment Rate 3.90 3.70 10.80 2.50 percent [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 312.00 176.00 1115.00 -1967.00 Thousand [+]
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 301.00 173.00 1089.00 -821.00 Thousand [+]
Government Payrolls 11.00 3.00 427.00 -260.00 Thousand [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls 32.00 27.00 572.00 -519.00 Thousand [+]
Initial Jobless Claims 213.00 216.00 695.00 162.00 Thousand [+]
Continuing Jobless Claims 1737.00 1719.00 6635.00 988.00 Thousand [+]
ADP Employment Change 271.00 157.00 384.00 -836.00 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 156945.00 156803.00 156945.00 57635.00 Thousand [+]
Unemployed Persons 6294.00 6018.00 15352.00 1596.00 Thousand [+]
Average Hourly Earnings 0.40 0.20 0.60 -0.20 percent [+]
Average Weekly Hours 34.50 34.40 34.60 33.70 Hours [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 63.10 62.90 67.30 58.10 percent [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 0.80 0.77 4.40 0.08 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 8.70 8.10 19.50 7.80 percent [+]
Labour Costs 109.05 108.81 109.60 17.00 Index Points [+]
Productivity 105.69 105.10 105.69 26.03 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 6540.00 7320.00 7320.00 2132.00 Thousand [+]
Job Offers 6888.00 7131.00 7293.00 2196.00 Thousand [+]
Challenger Job Cuts 43884.00 53073.00 248475.00 15100.00 Persons [+]
Wages 23.05 22.96 23.05 2.50 USD/Hour [+]
Wage Growth 4.20 4.49 13.78 -5.88 percent [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 21.91 21.80 21.91 1.27 USD/Hour [+]
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.25 7.25 0.25 USD/Hour [+]
Employment Cost Index 0.80 0.60 1.60 0.20 percent [+]
Population 325.72 323.41 325.72 76.09 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Employment Rate 60.60 60.60 64.70 55.00 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 129913.00 129755.00 129913.00 64640.00 Thousand [+]
Part Time Employment 26994.00 27039.00 28134.00 10086.00 Thousand [+]
Living Wage Family 2380.00 2270.00 2380.00 2160.00 USD/Month [+]
Living Wage Individual 1660.00 1560.00 1660.00 1450.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages High Skilled 4520.00 4330.00 4950.00 4330.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages Low Skilled 1960.00 1760.00 2340.00 1760.00 USD/Month [+]


United States Non Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is an employment report released monthly, usually on the first Friday of every month, and heavily affects the US dollar, the bond market and the stock market. Current Employment Statistics (CES) program from the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites, in order to provide detailed industry data on employment, hours, and earnings of workers on nonfarm payrolls. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Non Farm Payrolls - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Non Farm Payrolls - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on January of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
312.00 176.00 1115.00 -1967.00 1939 - 2018 Thousand Monthly




Country Last Previous
Brazil 58.66 Nov/18
Canada 16658.00 Aug/18
France 25173.60 Sep/18
Switzerland 5070.00 Sep/18
United States 312.00 Dec/18


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