The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States jumped to 59.7 in February of 2019 from 56.7 in January, beating market expectations of 57.3. The reading pointed to the strongest expansion in the services sector in three months, as business activity, new orders and employment rose faster. Service providers remained mostly optimistic about overall business conditions and the economy but showed concerns about the uncertainty of tariffs, capacity constraints and employment resources. Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is reported by Institute for Supply Management.

Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is expected to be 54.00 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States to stand at 53.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.00 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI
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US Services Growth Beat Forecasts: ISM

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States jumped to 59.7 in February of 2019 from 56.7 in January, beating market expectations of 57.3. The reading pointed to the strongest expansion in the services sector in three months, as business activity, new orders and employment rose faster. Service providers remained mostly optimistic about overall business conditions and the economy but showed concerns about the uncertainty of tariffs, capacity constraints and employment resources.

Faster increases were seen in business activity (64.7 from 59.7 in January), new orders (65.2 from 57.7), employment (55.2 from 57.8), backlogs of orders (55.5 from 52.5), new export orders (55 from 50.5) and supplier deliveries (53.5 from 51.5). Also, inventories rebounded (51 from 49) and price pressures slowed (54.4 from 59.4).

The 18 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in February — listed in order — are: Transportation & Warehousing; Management of Companies & Support Services; Wholesale Trade; Mining; Educational Services; Utilities; Other Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Construction; Health Care & Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Public Administration; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Finance & Insurance; Information; Accommodation & Food Services; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; and Retail Trade.


ISM | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
3/5/2019 3:12:41 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 54.20 56.60 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 53.00 54.90 57.90 50.70 [+]
Services PMI 56.00 54.20 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 59.70 56.70 62.00 37.80 [+]
Composite Pmi 55.50 54.40 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 3.50 3.90 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.10 -0.40 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 1.00 2.80 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 78.23 78.26 89.39 66.71 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders 0.40 1.30 23.50 -19.00 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 0.70 2.20 26.00 -19.70 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation -0.10 0.30 7.50 -6.80 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation -0.20 -0.50 4.60 -7.20 percent [+]
New Orders 499876.00 499194.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders 0.10 0.10 10.60 -10.00 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.60 0.00 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 97.07 89.77 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories 1.10 0.40 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22232.00 22103.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2076.82 2007.53 2076.82 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 101.70 101.20 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 61.10 63.40 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 13.70 -4.10 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 3.70 8.80 39.00 -34.40 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 16.00 -2.00 29.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.43 0.05 2.77 -5.25 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 13.10 1.00 47.10 -60.10 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 64.70 56.70 78.60 21.20 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.64 2.61 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 445.50 401.53 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 16.57 16.70 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -9.59 -3.86 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change -47.00 -204.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change -4587.00 -4624.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 125.13 124.80 125.13 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change -2.13 -2.58 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 833.00 834.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7647.00 7568.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production 12.50 15.40 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI

The Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (Business Activity, New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Inventory Change, Inventory Sentiment, Imports, Prices, Employment and Supplier Deliveries) this report shows the percentage reporting each response, and the diffusion index. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the non-manufacturing economy in that index is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. Orders to the service producers make up about 90 percent of the US economy. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on March of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
59.70 56.70 62.00 37.80 1997 - 2019 Monthly
SA




Country Last Previous
China 54.30 Feb/19
Japan 24.00 Dec/18
United States 59.70 Feb/19


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