Cotton futures have dropped below 86 cents per pound after reaching a four-month high of 87.98 cents on May 19, amid weakening demand and increased selling by Indian farmers who had been holding onto their crop, expecting prices to reach last year's record-high levels. On the other hand, the expectation of a decrease in cotton production for the upcoming crop year has provided some support. The recent May WASDE report from the USDA indicated there would be a decline in cotton output, particularly in China, which is facing challenges such as drought, and Turkey. In the United States, the third-largest cotton producer globally, farmers are expected to reduce cotton acreage by 18% this year. This reduction would represent one of the most significant drops in cotton acreage witnessed in this century.
Historically, Cotton reached an all time high of 227 in March of 2011. Cotton - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2023.
Cotton is expected to trade at 81.62 USd/Lbs by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 72.53 in 12 months time.