Natural gas futures in Europe extended losses to below €24 per megawatt hour to kick off the June month, a fresh two-year low, and following a 30% drop in May. Abundant LNG supplies, reduced consumption, mild weather conditions, stronger renewable power generation and subdued demand from Asia have been helping to push prices down. Furthermore, the European economy is displaying signs of weakness, with Germany experiencing a recession in Q1 2023, while recent indicators for China also point to subdued recovery. Meanwhile, Norway’s Equinor has halted a gas leak at its Hammerfest LNG plant and normalisation is underway. Despite the current downward pressure, there is a possibility that abnormal heatwaves in Europe and Asia or drought conditions during the summer could lead to an increase in prices.
Historically, EU Natural Gas reached an all time high of 345 in March of 2022. EU Natural Gas - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2023.
EU Natural Gas is expected to trade at 26.52 EUR/MWh by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 33.64 in 12 months time.