The South African Reserve Bank unanimously voted to keep its benchmark repo rate unchanged at a record low of 3.5% during its July 2021 meeting, in line with expectations as the Covid-19 virus continues to weigh on global prospects and the recent unrest in parts of the country is likely to slow our ongoing recovery. Headline CPI forecast has been revised higher for 2021 to 4.3% (from 4.2%), lower to 4.2% in 2022 (from: 4.4%) and unchanged at 4.5% in 2023. The core inflation forecast for 2021. Also, GDP is expected to grow by 2.3% in 2022 and by 2.4% in 2023, unchanged since the May meeting. The risks to the medium-term domestic growth outlook are assessed to be balanced. The implied policy rate path of the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) indicates an increase of 25 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2021 and in each quarter of 2022. source: South African Reserve Bank

Interest Rate in South Africa averaged 12.16 percent from 1998 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 23.99 percent in June of 1998 and a record low of 3.50 percent in July of 2020. This page provides - South Africa Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. South Africa Interest Rate - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on July of 2021.

Interest Rate in South Africa is expected to be 3.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Interest Rate in South Africa to stand at 4.25 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the South Africa Interest Rate is projected to trend around 5.00 percent in 2022, according to our econometric models.

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South Africa Interest Rate

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.50 3.50 23.99 3.50 1998 - 2021 percent Daily


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2021-01-21 01:00 PM 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
2021-03-25 01:00 PM 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
2021-05-20 01:00 PM 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
2021-07-22 01:00 PM 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
2021-09-23 01:00 PM 3.5%
2021-11-18 01:00 PM


News Stream
South Africa Keeps Key Rate Steady at 3.5%
The South African Reserve Bank unanimously voted to keep its benchmark repo rate unchanged at a record low of 3.5% during its July 2021 meeting, in line with expectations as the Covid-19 virus continues to weigh on global prospects and the recent unrest in parts of the country is likely to slow our ongoing recovery. Headline CPI forecast has been revised higher for 2021 to 4.3% (from 4.2%), lower to 4.2% in 2022 (from: 4.4%) and unchanged at 4.5% in 2023. The core inflation forecast for 2021. Also, GDP is expected to grow by 2.3% in 2022 and by 2.4% in 2023, unchanged since the May meeting. The risks to the medium-term domestic growth outlook are assessed to be balanced. The implied policy rate path of the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) indicates an increase of 25 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2021 and in each quarter of 2022.
2021-07-22
South Africa Leaves Interest Rates on Hold
The South African Reserve Bank unanimously voted to keep its benchmark repo rate unchanged at a record low of 3.5% during its May 2021 meeting, as widely expected. Policymakers said that the overall risks to the growth outlook are assessed to be balanced while overall risks to the inflation outlook appear to be to the upside. Still, Governor Kganyago warned that slow progress on vaccinations, limited energy supply and policy uncertainty continue to pose downside risks to the economic outlook. Meantime, the central bank raised its 2021 growth forecasts to 4.2% from an earlier 3.8% but revised downwards its projections for 2022 to 2.3% (vs prior 2.4%) and 2023 to 2.4% (vs prior 2.5%). Forecasts now also point to 4.2% inflation in 2021 (vs prior 4.3%), 4.4% in 2022 (unchanged) and 4.5% in 2023 (unchanged). Looking forward, the SARB sees two interest rate hikes of 25bps each in Q2 and Q4 2021.
2021-05-20
South Africa Holds Key Interest Rate at 3.5%
The South African Reserve Bank unanimously voted to keep its benchmark repo rate unchanged at a record low of 3.5% during its March 2021 meeting to support the country's recovery, as widely expected. Policymakers said that both risks to the growth outlook are assessed to be balanced in the near and medium-term. Governor Kganyago stressed that the pace of a local economic recovery would depend on the pace of vaccination and the appearance of a likely third wave of infections. Meantime, the central bank raised its 2021 growth forecasts to 3.8% from an earlier 3.6% but maintained its projections of 2.4% and 2.5% for 2022 and 2023, respectively. Forecasts also point to 4.3% inflation in 2021 (vs prior 4%), 4.4% in 2022 (vs prior 4.5%) and 4.5% in 2023 (vs prior 4.6%). Looking forward, the SARB sees two interest rate hikes of 25bps each in Q2 and Q4 2021.
2021-03-25
South Africa Leaves Key Interest Rate Steady at 3.5%
The South African Reserve Bank left its benchmark repo rate unchanged at a record low of 3.5% during its January 2021 meeting, as widely expected. The decision was not unanimous and follows 300 bps rate cuts in 2020 to support an economy already in recession before the pandemic shock. Policymakers said that both the risks to the growth outlook and the inflation outlook are assessed to be balanced, adding that the slow economic recovery will help keep inflation below the midpoint of the target range for this year and next. The Reserve Bank also signaled that tightening may start sooner than previously indicated in November. The Committee now expects that the economy will shrink by 7.1% in 2020, compared to November's estimate of a 8% plunge, before rebounding by 3.6% in 2021 (previously 3.5%), 2.4% in 2022 (unrevised) and 2.5% in 2023. Forecasts also point to 3.3% inflation in 2020 (vs prior 3.2%), 4% in 2021 (vs prior 3.9%), 4.5% in 2022 (vs prior 4.4%) and 4.6% in 2023.
2021-01-21

South Africa Interest Rate
In South Africa, the interest rates decisions are taken by the South African Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The official interest rate is the repo rate. This is the rate at which central banks lend or discount eligible paper for deposit money banks, typically shown on an end-of-period basis.