The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was little changed at 1.65% on Tuesday, lower than a five-week high of 1.7% reached last week, amid expectations the Fed will not tight monetary policy soon. Comments from several Fed officials have helped to calm investors' concerns over a rise in inflation and borrowing costs. Dallas Federal Reserve President Robert Kaplan said he does not expect interest rates to rise until next year and Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida said the weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report showed the economy had not yet reached the threshold to warrant scaling back the central bank’s massive bond purchases. FOMC minutes due on Wednesday will also be in the spotlight and traders will be looking for clues on the Fed's next steps. source: U.S. Department of the Treasury
Historically, the United States Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. United States Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on May of 2021.
The United States Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 1.70 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.86 in 12 months time.