The yield on the benchmark US 10-year Treasury note retreated to 1.23% in the 4th week of July, back to 5-month lows, as investors await the FOMC meeting later in the week for further clues on the Fed's next moves, stimulus and economic outlook. Also, concerns over the rapid spread of coronavirus delta variant and the impact it will have on the economy remain in the spotlight. Dr. Anthony Fauci warned on Sunday that the coronavirus pandemic is now “going in the wrong direction” in the US and Covid-19 hospitalizations in Los Angeles County more than doubled in 2 weeks. source: U.S. Department of the Treasury
Historically, the United States Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. United States Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July of 2021.
The United States Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 1.34 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.54 in 12 months time.