Median year-ahead inflation expectations in the US grew to 4.8 percent in June 2021, a new high for the series and the eighth straight month of increases, as the economy recovers from the pandemic hit. Meanwhile, expectations for inflation over the next three years remained unchanged at 3.6 percent, the second-highest level ever. The survey also showed households' labor market expectations continued to improve as the mean perceived probability of losing one's job in the next 12 months decreased to 10.9 percent, a new series' low, and the mean perceived probability of finding a job in the next three months increased to 54.2 percent, the highest reading since February 2020. source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Inflation Expectations in the United States averaged 2.87 percent from 2013 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 4.80 percent in June of 2021 and a record low of 2.33 percent in October of 2019. This page provides - United States Consumer Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. United States Consumer Inflation Expectations - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on August of 2021.

Inflation Expectations in the United States is expected to be 3.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Inflation Expectations in the United States to stand at 2.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Consumer Inflation Expectations is projected to trend around 2.50 percent in 2022 and 2.40 percent in 2023, according to our econometric models.

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United States Consumer Inflation Expectations

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
4.80 4.00 4.80 2.33 2013 - 2021 percent Monthly
NSA


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2021-04-12 03:00 PM Mar 3.2% 3.09% 3.1%
2021-05-10 03:00 PM Apr 3.4% 3.2% 3.3%
2021-06-14 03:00 PM May 4% 3.4% 3.8%
2021-07-12 03:00 PM Jun 4.8% 4% 4.1%
2021-08-09 03:00 PM Jul 4.8% 4.7%
2021-09-14 03:00 PM Aug
2021-10-13 03:00 PM Sep
2021-11-09 04:00 PM Oct

United States Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 5.40 5.00 23.70 -15.80 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.90 0.60 1.80 -1.80 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 270.98 268.55 270.98 23.51 points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 278.14 275.72 278.14 28.50 points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 4.50 3.80 13.60 0.00 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 117.38 115.65 117.38 12.85 points [+]
Producer Prices 126.00 124.80 126.00 100.20 points [+]
Producer Prices Change 7.30 6.60 19.57 -6.86 percent [+]
Export Prices 140.50 138.90 140.50 82.40 points [+]
Import Prices 134.10 132.80 147.50 75.00 points [+]
Food Inflation 2.40 2.20 36.70 -34.30 percent [+]
CPI Housing Utilities 280.37 278.65 280.37 30.50 points [+]
CPI Transportation 237.70 229.69 237.70 22.30 points [+]
Core Pce Price Index 117.28 116.75 117.28 16.73 points [+]
Core Producer Prices 124.80 123.60 124.80 99.90 points [+]
Pce Price Index 115.34 114.75 115.34 16.07 points [+]
Inflation Expectations 4.80 4.00 4.80 2.33 percent [+]


United States Consumer Inflation Expectations
In the US, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate. The expectations are based on the nationally representative, internet-based survey of a rotating panel of approximately 1,200 heads of households.