Median year-ahead inflation expectations in the US increased to 3.4 percent in April 2021, the highest level since September 2013, amid mounting concerns over rising price pressure as the economy further re-opens. Home and rent price growth expectations increased to 5.5%, new series highs, while households' year-ahead spending growth outlook remained elevated. Meanwhile, expectations for inflation over the next three years held at 3.1 percent, the highest since July 2014. source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Inflation Expectations in the United States averaged 2.83 percent from 2013 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 3.40 percent in August of 2013 and a record low of 2.33 percent in October of 2019. This page provides - United States Consumer Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. United States Consumer Inflation Expectations - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on May of 2021.

Inflation Expectations in the United States is expected to be 3.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Inflation Expectations in the United States to stand at 2.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Consumer Inflation Expectations is projected to trend around 2.50 percent in 2022 and 2.40 percent in 2023, according to our econometric models.

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United States Consumer Inflation Expectations

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.40 3.20 3.40 2.33 2013 - 2021 percent Monthly
NSA


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2021-02-08 04:00 PM Jan 3.05% 3% 3%
2021-03-08 04:00 PM Feb 3.09% 3.05% 3%
2021-04-12 03:00 PM Mar 3.2% 3.09% 3.1%
2021-05-10 03:00 PM Apr 3.4% 3.2% 3.3%
2021-06-14 03:00 PM May 3.4%
2021-07-12 03:00 PM Jun
2021-08-09 03:00 PM Jul
2021-09-14 03:00 PM Aug

United States Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 4.20 2.60 23.70 -15.80 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.80 0.60 1.80 -1.80 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 266.83 264.79 266.83 23.51 points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 273.70 271.21 273.70 28.50 points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 3.00 1.60 13.60 0.00 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 115.51 114.37 115.51 12.85 points [+]
Producer Prices 123.80 123.10 123.80 100.20 points [+]
Producer Prices Change 6.20 4.20 19.57 -6.86 percent [+]
Export Prices 135.20 134.10 135.30 82.40 points [+]
Import Prices 130.70 129.80 147.50 75.00 points [+]
Food Inflation 2.40 3.50 36.70 -34.30 percent [+]
CPI Housing Utilities 277.26 276.03 277.26 30.50 points [+]
CPI Transportation 222.55 215.76 223.54 22.30 points [+]
Core Pce Price Index 115.08 114.67 115.08 16.73 points [+]
Core Producer Prices 122.80 122.00 122.80 99.90 points [+]
Pce Price Index 113.29 112.70 113.29 16.07 points [+]
Inflation Expectations 3.40 3.20 3.40 2.33 percent [+]


United States Consumer Inflation Expectations
In the US, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate. The expectations are based on the nationally representative, internet-based survey of a rotating panel of approximately 1,200 heads of households.